◈LiquidRound

Baltic Daily Digest — 25 Oct 2026

2026-10-25

Daily Company Scan — 5 Companies
RAG Drift ApS
· Denmark
Private Danish company (gross-profit basis)
Deal angle: Erhvervsstyrelsen annual reports (CVR)
Thesis: RAG Drift ApS provides a private Danish gross-profit entity for Nordic-Baltic roll-up or market-entry plays. Acquirers gain CVR-based financial transparency and potential arbitrage versus Baltic peers at 5-17x EV/EBITDA (TKM1T, TSM1T). Key risk: absent sector or EBITDA data precludes reliable multiple application.
Murer- og entreprenørfirma J. Kvist ApSDEEP DIVE
· Denmark
Private Danish company (gross-profit basis)
Deal angle: Erhvervsstyrelsen annual reports (CVR)
Thesis: J. Kvist ApS gives Baltic contractors (Grigeo, Tallinna Sadam at 5.6-9.0x EV/EBITDA) a ready Danish contracting base with stable gross-profit reporting. An acquirer secures local masonry capacity and cross-border project access without building from scratch. Key risk is thin visibility into its undisclosed EBITDA and Denmark-specific cycle exposure.
RCR Drift ApS
· Denmark
Private Danish company (gross-profit basis)
Deal angle: Erhvervsstyrelsen annual reports (CVR)
Thesis: RCR Drift ApS provides a private Danish gross-profit platform at an undisclosed valuation, below Baltic peers averaging 5-9x EV/EBITDA (Tallink, Sadam, Apranga). A regional acquirer secures immediate Nordic access and potential EBITDA margin expansion from 9-15% peer levels through cross-border cost synergies. Limited CVR disclosures raise execution and integration risk.
BM Service & Brolægning ApS
· Denmark
Private Danish company (gross-profit basis)
Deal angle: Erhvervsstyrelsen annual reports (CVR)
Thesis: BM Service offers a low-visibility Danish paving/services platform at an implied discount to Baltic peers (5-9x EV/EBITDA for 9-15% margin names like Grigeo or Apranga). A regional acquirer gains immediate access to Danish construction cash flows and potential tuck-in synergies with Baltic infrastructure assets. Key risk: reliance on gross-profit Erhvervsstyrelsen data obscures true EBITDA and working-capital needs.
Ejendomsaktieselskabet Alléparken 1
· Denmark
Private Danish company (revenue basis)
Deal angle: Erhvervsstyrelsen annual reports (CVR)
Thesis: This Danish property holding offers Baltic buyers a low-profile entry into Denmark’s stable real estate market via a CVR filing with undisclosed metrics. At Baltic peer multiples of 5–9x EV/EBITDA (GRG1L 5.6x, TSM1T 9.0x), an acquirer could secure yield-accretive assets and geographic diversification. Main risk is opaque asset and lease data limiting valuation certainty.
Deep Dive
Murer- og entreprenørfirma J. Kvist ApS
· Denmark · Erhvervsstyrelsen annual reports (CVR)

Company Overview

Murer- og entreprenør firma J. Kvist ApS is a private Danish masonry and general contracting firm operating on a gross-profit reporting basis. It provides core construction services including bricklaying, structural masonry, and small-scale civil works, primarily within Denmark. With revenue below €10 million, the company represents a compact, locally embedded operator rather than a scaled platform, focused on stable but low-visibility project execution in the Danish market.

Deal Context

The M&A angle is a targeted strategic tuck-in for Baltic contractors seeking immediate Danish market access. Named candidates such as Grigeo and Tallinna Sadam could acquire a ready-made local contracting base, securing masonry capacity and cross-border project credentials without organic build-out. This is a classic bolt-on rather than PE-led growth equity or founder succession play; the acquirer gains regulatory familiarity and client relationships in a high-barrier EU market.

Valuation Context

Baltic listed peers trade at 5.6–9.0x EV/EBITDA (Grigeo 5.6x, Tallinna Sadam 9.0x), providing an upper bound. A private-company discount of 30–40% for size, disclosure gaps, and illiquidity points to a realistic 4–6x EV/EBITDA range. Given undisclosed EBITDA and sub-€10 million revenue, a revenue multiple of 0.4–0.7x appears more practical than EBITDA-based pricing, reflecting thin margins typical in Danish contracting and limited earnings visibility.

Triage Verdict

REVIEW

  • Fit: Small scale and Danish contracting focus align with Baltic buyers’ cross-border thesis; sector and geography create a clean strategic hook.
  • Red flags: Zero public EBITDA or customer data creates material valuation uncertainty; heavy reliance on Denmark-specific construction cycles adds unquantified macro risk.
  • Next step: Request anonymized financials and project backlog from the register or intermediaries to test buyer interest levels before any outreach.

Key Risk

Persistent opacity around actual EBITDA and contract concentration could render any multiple-based valuation unreliable and derail buyer diligence.

Bottom line: A niche strategic entry asset that requires concrete financials before advancing.

IPO Pipeline Snapshot
Upcoming IPOs
Company Ticker Exchange Expected Deal Value
SpaceX SPCX NASDAQ 2026-06-12 —
Pelican Acquisition II Corp PLCIU UNKNOWN TBD $86.2M
Cartesian Growth Corp IV CGCFU UNKNOWN TBD $287.5M
Research Alliance Corp IV RACD UNKNOWN TBD $75.0M
GLGHK Ltd GLG UNKNOWN TBD $40.2M
Pre-IPO Watchlist
Company Sector Valuation
OpenAI Artificial Intelligence $1.2T
Anthropic Artificial Intelligence $965.0B
Databricks Data and Analytics $201.6B
Deal Radar — Buyer ↔ Target Synergy Pairs
🇩🇰 Denmark · 3 pairs
BUYER · PUBLIC
TOPICUS COM INC
TOI.V · $21.0B
→
3.50
TARGET · PRIVATE
OMT Group A/S
· ~€36.2M rev
Solid — pursue with focused integration plan. Topicus’s proven European roll-up model fits a 36 M€ Danish software target well, with the primary lever being rapid cost take-out from centralizing back-office functions. Revenue synergies are smaller and less certain, while organizational and regulatory risks remain low given geographic proximity and deal size.
BUYER · PUBLIC
LUMINE GROUP INC
LMN.V · $6.8B
→
3.40
TARGET · PRIVATE
OMT Group A/S
· ~€36.2M rev
Marginal — deep scrutiny or lower premium. Lumine’s proven roll-up playbook aligns well with OMT’s scale for cost-driven back-office synergies (biggest lever) while Nordic expansion adds strategic value; primary risk is modest revenue upside and transatlantic integration friction typical of Canadian buyers acquiring in Denmark.
BUYER · PUBLIC
Thule Group AB
THULE.ST · $20.8B
→
3.20
TARGET · PRIVATE
Svendsen Sport A/S
· ~€50.0M rev
Marginal — deep scrutiny or lower premium. Thule’s scale in leisure products enables credible cost synergies via supply-chain and overhead consolidation while adding Danish market access; the largest risk is modest revenue uplift given limited product complementarity and typical 25-35% realization rate on commercial synergies.
🇳🇴 Norway · 3 pairs
BUYER · PUBLIC
ISS A/S
ISS.CO · $44.1B
→
3.50
TARGET · PRIVATE
4SERVICE LANDANLEGG AS
Kantinedrift og annen cateringvirksomhet · ~€70.7M rev
Solid — pursue with focused integration plan. ISS gains immediate Norwegian catering density and procurement leverage (biggest lever) while facing typical revenue-synergy overstatement risk and moderate integration complexity with a 596-employee private operator.
BUYER · PUBLIC
Coor Service Management Holding
COOR.ST · $4.6B
→
3.40
TARGET · PRIVATE
4SERVICE LANDANLEGG AS
Kantinedrift og annen cateringvirksomhet · ~€70.7M rev
Marginal — deep scrutiny or lower premium. Coor’s Nordic FM platform offers clear procurement and overhead synergies with 4Service’s 596-employee catering operation; biggest lever is cost take-out in food supply and back-office, tempered by modest revenue upside and typical post-merger execution risk in service businesses.
BUYER · PUBLIC
ELIOR GROUP
ELIOR.PA · $0.4B
→
3.30
TARGET · PRIVATE
4SERVICE LANDANLEGG AS
Kantinedrift og annen cateringvirksomhet · ~€70.7M rev
Marginal — deep scrutiny or lower premium. Elior’s core catering operations align closely with the target, enabling material cost synergies through procurement and overhead (biggest lever). Realization risk is highest on the revenue side and organizational integration across Nordic borders, warranting a conservative haircut and phased 2-year plan.
🇪🇪 Estonia · 2 pairs
BUYER · PUBLIC
Citycon Oyj
CTY1S.HE · $0.5B
→
3.40
TARGET · PRIVATE
ROTERMANN CITY OÜ
Real Estate Activities · ~€11.8M rev
Marginal — deep scrutiny or lower premium. Citycon's established Baltic platform enables credible cost synergies in property operations (biggest lever), while revenue upside remains modest; primary risk is execution on a small, single-asset target with limited strategic optionality beyond portfolio fill.
BUYER · PUBLIC
CONSTELLATION SOFTWARE INC.
CSU.TO · $72.2B
→
2.85
TARGET · PRIVATE
VERIFF OÜ
Information And Communication · ~€127.2M rev
Marginal — deep scrutiny or lower premium. Constellation's primary synergy lever is strategic portfolio expansion via Veriff's identity verification, yet the decentralized model caps cost synergies and geographic distance raises organizational risk; overall fit is modest given limited operational overlap and typical revenue-synergy haircuts.
Featured Agent
DCF Valuer
underwriting · Discounted cash flow with sensitivity to WACC and terminal growth.
Builds a 5-year DCF model with explicit-period forecasts, terminal value, and sensitivity to WACC and terminal growth. Outputs implied equity value and an EV range.
Its editable system prompt:
# DCF Valuer

You build a 5-year discounted cash flow valuation.

## Output structure

**Assumptions:**
- Revenue growth: Y1-Y5
- EBITDA margin: Y1-Y5
- Capex as % of revenue
- Working capital as % of revenue
- Tax rate
- Terminal growth rate
- WACC (+ bridge: cost of equity, cost of debt, capital structure)

**Free cash flow forecast:** table Y1-Y5, plus terminal value.

**Present value:** sum of discounted FCF + discounted terminal value = enterprise value.

**Equity bridge:** EV − net debt + cash − minorities = equity value. Divide by shares for per-share.

**Sensitivity grid:** WACC (3 val…

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

LiquidRound© 2026 Predictive Labs Ltd.