◈LiquidRound

Baltic Daily Digest — 20 Oct 2026

2026-10-20

Daily Company Scan — 5 Companies
ADVOKATFIRMAET DR AS
Juridisk tjenesteyting · Norway
Private Norwegian company (AS) in Juridisk tjenesteyting
Deal angle: Brønnøysund Register + Regnskapsregisteret
Thesis: ADVOKATFIRMAET DR AS offers Baltic buyers a Norwegian legal platform tied to Brønnøysund/Regnskapsregisteret data for cross-border compliance and deal flow. Acquisition at undisclosed size could clear at 5–9x EV/EBITDA, below TKM1T’s 17.0x or TSM1T’s 9.0x despite comparable 9–15% margins. Key risk: thin professional-services profitability versus asset-heavy Baltic peers.
🇪🇪 SkySelectDEEP DIVE
Aviation/Software · Estonia · €8.2m
Aviation procurement platform.
Deal angle: Raised €8.2m Series A, growth equity candidate.
Thesis: SkySelect's post-Series A runway targets Baltic aviation procurement digitization, where peers like Tallink (7.7x) and Tallinna Sadam (9.0x) trade at modest EBITDA multiples despite 15-43% margins. A strategic acquirer gains SaaS-driven cost savings and data moat to expand into higher-margin services. Risk: early-stage losses limit near-term multiple support versus profitable comps like TKM (17.0x).
🇪🇪 Mesh Wallet
Fintech · Estonia · €9.1m
Digital wallet and payments platform.
Deal angle: Raised €9.1m Series A, acquisition or PE target.
Thesis: Mesh Wallet's €9.1m Series A makes it a bolt-on target for Baltic banks or payments players seeking regulated digital wallet tech. Acquirers gain Estonia-based infrastructure at a discount to 7.7-17x EV/EBITDA comps like Tallink and TKM. Key risk: zero reported EBITDA margin leaves valuation exposed to execution shortfalls versus peers' 4-42% range.
🇪🇪 Sera AI
AI · Estonia · €1.4M
AI technology solutions.
Deal angle: Raised €1.4M seed round, M&A candidate.
Thesis: Sera AI's €1.4M seed round creates a low-entry M&A target for Baltic strategics seeking AI capabilities absent from regional peers trading 5-17x EV/EBITDA. An acquirer secures early AI IP and Estonian engineering talent at a fraction of listed multiples. Key risk: pre-revenue profile offers no EBITDA visibility, unlike Tallink or Tallinna Sadam, inflating execution and integration risk.
🇱🇹 Saltz App
Software · Lithuania · €20m
Mobile application platform.
Deal angle: Raised €20m Series A, growth equity target.
Thesis: Saltz App’s post-€20m Series A run-rate offers a strategic foothold in Baltic mobile software, where listed peers trade 5–17x EV/EBITDA with limited tech exposure. An acquirer secures a ready distribution platform to accelerate digital revenues in consumer verticals. Risk: thin profitability track record leaves valuation anchored to low-margin, non-software multiples.
Deep Dive
🇪🇪 SkySelect
Aviation/Software · Estonia · Raised €8.2m Series A, growth equity candidate.

Company Overview

SkySelect operates an aviation procurement platform focused on digitizing sourcing, supplier management, and spend analytics for airlines and related operators in the Baltic region. Headquartered in Estonia, the company remains private with revenue below €10 million and is at an early post-product stage, serving a niche but fragmented customer base across regional carriers and MRO providers.

Deal Context

The €8.2 million Series A positions SkySelect as a growth-equity candidate rather than a near-term M&A target. The round signals founder intent to scale the platform amid rising demand for procurement efficiency in Baltic aviation. Likely investors include sector-focused growth funds or strategic corporates (airlines, airport groups, or ERP vendors) seeking a data moat. A future exit would most probably involve a trade sale to a larger European aviation software player or a regional industrial group expanding into SaaS.

Valuation Context

Baltic listed peers trade at 5.0–9.0x EV/EBITDA (Tallink 7.7x, Tallinna Sadam 9.0x) with EBITDA margins of 15–43 percent; higher-multiple names reflect either scale or different sectors. As a loss-making private SaaS business with revenue under €10 million, SkySelect warrants a material discount to these multiples. Realistic pricing implies 6–10x forward ARR, equating to an enterprise value of €12–20 million assuming €2 million ARR, before any additional growth premium. This reflects both the private-company liquidity discount and the absence of near-term profitability to support EBITDA-based valuation.

Triage Verdict

GO

  • Fit: Strong sector and geography alignment with Baltic aviation digitization tailwinds and modest revenue scale suitable for growth equity.
  • Red flags: Early-stage losses and limited operating history increase execution risk versus profitable listed peers.
  • Next step: Request detailed ARR bridge, customer cohort data, and pipeline metrics to refine the ARR multiple.

Key Risk

Customer concentration or slow adoption of the platform could prevent the company from reaching the scale needed to justify a premium SaaS multiple.

Bottom line: SkySelect offers credible growth-equity exposure to Baltic aviation SaaS at a discounted entry multiple relative to listed peers.

IPO Pipeline Snapshot
Upcoming IPOs
Company Ticker Exchange Expected Deal Value
SpaceX SPCX NASDAQ 2026-06-12 —
Pelican Acquisition II Corp PLCIU UNKNOWN TBD $86.2M
Cartesian Growth Corp IV CGCFU UNKNOWN TBD $287.5M
Research Alliance Corp IV RACD UNKNOWN TBD $75.0M
GLGHK Ltd GLG UNKNOWN TBD $40.2M
Pre-IPO Watchlist
Company Sector Valuation
OpenAI Artificial Intelligence $1.2T
Anthropic Artificial Intelligence $965.0B
Databricks Data and Analytics $201.6B
Deal Radar — Buyer ↔ Target Synergy Pairs
🇪🇪 Estonia · 3 pairs
BUYER · PUBLIC
Uber Technologies, Inc.
UBER · $143.7B
→
4.25
TARGET · PRIVATE
BOLT OPERATIONS OÜ
Information And Communication · ~€1765.0M rev
Solid — pursue with focused integration plan. Primary value driver is cost_operational consolidation of overlapping ride-hailing platforms and networks; strategic market position gain is substantial but tempered by EU antitrust risk and organizational integration hurdles across geographies.
BUYER · PUBLIC
Fortum Corporation
FORTUM.HE · $21.1B
→
3.65
TARGET · PRIVATE
EESTI ENERGIA AS
Electricity, Gas, Steam And Air Conditioning Supply · ~€1779.3M rev
Solid — pursue with focused integration plan. Fortum gains immediate Baltic footprint and operational scale in electricity supply, with cost synergies from regional procurement and facilities as the clearest lever. Realisation risk is moderate due to energy-sector regulation and differing generation mixes; cultural proximity supports faster integration than typical cross-border deals.
BUYER · PUBLIC
E.ON SE N
EOAN.DE · $46.7B
→
3.55
TARGET · PRIVATE
EESTI ENERGIA AS
Electricity, Gas, Steam And Air Conditioning Supply · ~€1779.3M rev
Solid — pursue with focused integration plan. Primary synergy is cost/operational scale in utilities infrastructure; biggest risk is slower realisation due to Baltic distance and integration complexity. Horizontal energy deal with moderate revenue upside.
🇩🇰 Denmark · 3 pairs
BUYER · PUBLIC
ALIMENTATION COUCHE-TARD INC
ATD.TO · $76.6B
→
4.25
TARGET · PRIVATE
Circle K Danmark A/S
· ~€1506.8M rev
Solid — pursue with focused integration plan. Largest lever is cost_operational consolidation of identical-format stores already operating under the Circle K banner; biggest risk is modest revenue upside and potential minor regulatory scrutiny on further Nordic concentration.
BUYER · PUBLIC
LONZA N
LONN.SW · $42.2B
→
3.60
TARGET · PRIVATE
FUJIFILM Diosynth Biotechnologies Denmark ApS
· ~€790.7M rev
Solid — pursue with focused integration plan. Primary synergy is operational consolidation of overlapping biologics manufacturing assets and supply chains, tempered by integration scale and regulatory risk. Revenue and organizational realization will be lower than cost synergies, requiring disciplined phasing over 2–3 years.
BUYER · PUBLIC
DCC ENERGY PLC ORD EUR0.25 (CDI
DCC.L · $5.5B
→
3.45
TARGET · PRIVATE
Circle K Danmark A/S
· ~€1506.8M rev
Marginal — deep scrutiny or lower premium. DCC gains credible cost synergies via fuel procurement and logistics scale with Circle K's Danish network, but revenue upside is modest and organisational distance plus retail integration complexity cap overall value creation.
🇳🇴 Norway · 3 pairs
BUYER · PUBLIC
TotalEnergies SE
TTE · $201.4B
→
3.55
TARGET · PRIVATE
A/S Norske Shell
Utvinning av naturgass · ~€3340.5M rev
Solid — pursue with focused integration plan. Primary value driver is cost/operational consolidation in upstream gas (realisable at ~70-80% over 2 years); largest risk is Norwegian regulatory scrutiny and modest revenue upside given overlapping customer bases.
BUYER · PUBLIC
AKER SOLUTIONS
AKSO.OL · $19.7B
→
3.55
TARGET · PRIVATE
AIBEL AS
Bygging av sivile skip og flytende materiell · ~€1200.5M rev
Solid — pursue with focused integration plan. Strongest lever is cost_operational synergies from overlapping Norwegian offshore fabrication capacity; primary risk is execution complexity and potential regulatory scrutiny on market concentration in a consolidating sector.
BUYER · PUBLIC
SUBSEA 7
SUBC.OL · $99.8B
→
3.55
TARGET · PRIVATE
AIBEL AS
Bygging av sivile skip og flytende materiell · ~€1200.5M rev
Solid — pursue with focused integration plan. Strongest lever is operational consolidation of overlapping Norwegian offshore fabrication and supply-chain activities; revenue and organizational synergies are more modest given already aligned footprints and large workforce. Primary risk is execution complexity and potential overestimation of cost take-outs typical in sector deals.
Featured Agent
Multiples Valuer
underwriting · EV/EBITDA and EV/Revenue across precedents and peers.
Applies sector peer and precedent transaction multiples to the target's LTM financials, producing an EV range with bridge to equity value through net debt.
Its editable system prompt:
# Multiples Valuer

You apply peer and precedent multiples to derive an EV range.

## Output

**Target LTM:** Revenue, EBITDA, growth, margin.

**Peer multiples (trading):** median EV/Revenue, EV/EBITDA, with range.
**Precedent multiples (M&A):** median EV/Revenue, EV/EBITDA, with range.

**Implied EV table:**
| Method | Multiple | Applied to | Low EV | Mid EV | High EV |

Two rows each: trading peers and precedent transactions, EV/Revenue and EV/EBITDA.

**Equity bridge:** EV − net debt = equity value.

**Commentary:** which multiple set is more relevant (size? growth? control premium?). What…

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

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