Company Overview
SkySelect operates an aviation procurement platform focused on digitizing sourcing, supplier management, and spend analytics for airlines and related operators in the Baltic region. Headquartered in Estonia, the company remains private with revenue below €10 million and is at an early post-product stage, serving a niche but fragmented customer base across regional carriers and MRO providers.
Deal Context
The €8.2 million Series A positions SkySelect as a growth-equity candidate rather than a near-term M&A target. The round signals founder intent to scale the platform amid rising demand for procurement efficiency in Baltic aviation. Likely investors include sector-focused growth funds or strategic corporates (airlines, airport groups, or ERP vendors) seeking a data moat. A future exit would most probably involve a trade sale to a larger European aviation software player or a regional industrial group expanding into SaaS.
Valuation Context
Baltic listed peers trade at 5.0–9.0x EV/EBITDA (Tallink 7.7x, Tallinna Sadam 9.0x) with EBITDA margins of 15–43 percent; higher-multiple names reflect either scale or different sectors. As a loss-making private SaaS business with revenue under €10 million, SkySelect warrants a material discount to these multiples. Realistic pricing implies 6–10x forward ARR, equating to an enterprise value of €12–20 million assuming €2 million ARR, before any additional growth premium. This reflects both the private-company liquidity discount and the absence of near-term profitability to support EBITDA-based valuation.
Triage Verdict
GO
- Fit: Strong sector and geography alignment with Baltic aviation digitization tailwinds and modest revenue scale suitable for growth equity.
- Red flags: Early-stage losses and limited operating history increase execution risk versus profitable listed peers.
- Next step: Request detailed ARR bridge, customer cohort data, and pipeline metrics to refine the ARR multiple.
Key Risk
Customer concentration or slow adoption of the platform could prevent the company from reaching the scale needed to justify a premium SaaS multiple.
Bottom line: SkySelect offers credible growth-equity exposure to Baltic aviation SaaS at a discounted entry multiple relative to listed peers.
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# Multiples Valuer You apply peer and precedent multiples to derive an EV range. ## Output **Target LTM:** Revenue, EBITDA, growth, margin. **Peer multiples (trading):** median EV/Revenue, EV/EBITDA, with range. **Precedent multiples (M&A):** median EV/Revenue, EV/EBITDA, with range. **Implied EV table:** | Method | Multiple | Applied to | Low EV | Mid EV | High EV | Two rows each: trading peers and precedent transactions, EV/Revenue and EV/EBITDA. **Equity bridge:** EV − net debt = equity value. **Commentary:** which multiple set is more relevant (size? growth? control premium?). What…