◈LiquidRound

Baltic Daily Digest — 23 Sep 2026

2026-09-23

Daily Company Scan — 5 Companies
Jesma Technology Group A/SDEEP DIVE
· Denmark
Private Danish company (gross-profit basis)
Deal angle: Erhvervsstyrelsen annual reports (CVR)
Thesis: Jesma offers a private Danish tech tuck-in for Baltic players expanding via CVR-tracked gross-profit assets amid 5.6-9.1x peer multiples. Acquirer captures scalable IP and margin uplift versus Tallink or Grigeo without public disclosure drag. Risk: thin visibility on actual EBITDA versus disclosed 9.7-14.8% comps.
Bjerge Vognmandsforretning ApS
· Denmark
Private Danish company (gross-profit basis)
Deal angle: Erhvervsstyrelsen annual reports (CVR)
Thesis: Bjerge Vognmandsforretning ApS provides a Danish road-haulage foothold for Baltic transport players consolidating Nordic-Baltic corridors at 7.7-9.1x EV/EBITDA (Tallink, Tallinna Sadam). An acquirer secures local fleet access and gross-profit cash flows to complement lower-margin Estonian/Lithuanian operations. Key risk: scarce disclosed EBITDA and client concentration typical of small private CVR entities.
Colorcloudstudio ApS
· Denmark
Private Danish company (gross-profit basis)
Deal angle: Erhvervsstyrelsen annual reports (CVR)
Thesis: Colorcloudstudio ApS offers a low-visibility Danish tuck-in at undisclosed multiples well below Baltic peers (5.6-15x EV/EBITDA). An acquirer secures gross-profit stability and a CVR-registered platform for regional expansion. Key risk is thin disclosure, preventing reliable margin comparison to names like TKM Grupp or Tallinna Sadam.
Dalmatic TNV A/S
· Denmark
Private Danish company (gross-profit basis)
Deal angle: Erhvervsstyrelsen annual reports (CVR)
Thesis: Dalmatic TNV A/S offers Baltic groups a Danish bolt-on at undisclosed size, where peers trade 5.6-15.0x EV/EBITDA (Tallink 7.7x, TKM 15.0x). Acquirer gains CVR-verified gross-profit cash flows and immediate Nordic footprint. Main risk: blank sector data prevents synergy sizing versus listed margins of 4.9-42.6%.
K.A. Invest 1 ApS
· Denmark
Private Danish company (gross-profit basis)
Deal angle: Erhvervsstyrelsen annual reports (CVR)
Thesis: K.A. Invest 1 ApS provides a clean Danish gross-profit vehicle for Baltic operators seeking EU regulatory cover and cross-border consolidation. Acquirers can bolt on assets at 6-9x EV/EBITDA, below TKM1T (15.0x) and TSM1T (9.1x) while capturing Danish reporting standards. Main risk is zero sector disclosure, capping exit multiples at the 7.7x Tallink benchmark.
Deep Dive
Jesma Technology Group A/S
· Denmark · Erhvervsstyrelsen annual reports (CVR)

Company Overview

Jesma Technology Group A/S is a private Danish technology company operating on a gross-profit basis with revenue below €10 million. Headquartered in Denmark and tracked via Erhvervsstyrelsen (CVR) filings, the firm develops scalable IP assets likely tied to industrial or process technology. Its compact scale and undisclosed financials position it as a niche player rather than a broad-market competitor, with operations concentrated in the domestic market and limited public disclosure on customer base or product lines.

Deal Context

The M&A angle centers on a strategic tuck-in acquisition for Baltic industrial or technology groups seeking to expand IP capabilities without public-market scrutiny. Potential buyers include listed Baltic peers such as Grigeo or Tallink-adjacent entities pursuing margin-accretive assets at 5.6–9.1x EBITDA multiples. The transaction is framed as growth equity or bolt-on rather than founder succession or PE-led, with acquirers targeting Danish gross-profit assets to bypass disclosure requirements while capturing scalable technology.

Valuation Context

Baltic listed peers trade at 5.6–9.1x EV/EBITDA (Grigeo 5.6x, Tallinna Sadam 9.1x, Apranga 8.5x), serving as an upper bound. A private-company discount of 25–35% for size, illiquidity, and thin EBITDA visibility implies a realistic 4.0–6.5x multiple. For a sub-€10 million revenue tech business, an ARR or revenue multiple of 1.2–2.0x is more probable than EBITDA-based pricing, reflecting limited track record and the absence of audited margins comparable to the 9.7–14.8% peer range.

Triage Verdict

REVIEW

  • Fit: Compact Danish tech IP aligns with Baltic buyers’ tuck-in criteria and offers geographic and sector adjacency.
  • Red flags: Material opacity on actual EBITDA versus disclosed peer margins, plus single-country concentration and minimal public operating history.
  • Next step: Request detailed CVR financial extracts and customer concentration data to quantify margin uplift potential.

Key Risk

Persistent lack of granular EBITDA disclosure could mask overstated margins or integration friction, undermining the 5.6–9.1x entry thesis.

Bottom line: A niche Baltic tuck-in candidate that warrants data-room access before any commitment.

Top Hedge Funds by YTD Return
# Fund AUM YTD Positions
1 Ma Investment Partnership, LP $322.6B +197.2% 18
2 Graticule Asia Macro Advisors LLC $1.1T +166.8% 4
3 Shengqi Capital (Hong Kong) Ltd $95.6B +166.1% 10
4 Anther Capital Ltd $3.8T +161.3% 31
5 Merck & Co., Inc. $625.7B +148.6% 26
6 Central Asset Investments & Manag… $261.4B +145.4% 63
7 Oxbow Capital Management (HK) Ltd $731.4B +142.7% 14
8 Step Capital Management Pte. Ltd. $467.4B +137.4% 53
9 NVIDIA CORP $31.5T +123.9% 12
10 Panoramic Hills Capital Ltd $835.3B +118.4% 6
Hedge Fund Spotlight
Oxbow Capital Management (HK) Ltd
AUM $731.4B · 14 positions · +142.7% YTD
Top 5 Holdings
Security Value Weight
SANDISK CORP $110.5B 24.3%
COHERENT CORP $96.5B 21.2%
SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HLDNGS PL $86.6B 19.1%
BROADCOM INC $86.1B 19.0%
SEAGATE TECHNOLOGY HLDNGS PL $74.5B 16.4%
IPO Pipeline Snapshot
Upcoming IPOs
Company Ticker Exchange Expected Deal Value
SpaceX SPCX NASDAQ 2026-06-12 —
Cartesian Growth Corp IV CGCFU UNKNOWN TBD $287.5M
Research Alliance Corp IV RACD UNKNOWN TBD $75.0M
GLGHK Ltd GLG UNKNOWN TBD $40.2M
Pelican Acquisition II Corp PLCIU UNKNOWN TBD $86.2M
Pre-IPO Watchlist
Company Sector Valuation
Anthropic Artificial Intelligence $965.0B
OpenAI Artificial Intelligence $894.3B
Databricks Data and Analytics $200.4B
Deal Radar — Buyer ↔ Target Synergy Pairs
🇳🇴 Norway · 3 pairs
BUYER · PUBLIC
AKER BP
AKRBP.OL · $225.5B
→
3.90
TARGET · PRIVATE
A/S Norske Shell
Utvinning av naturgass · ~€2171.4M rev
Solid — pursue with focused integration plan. Strongest lever is cost_operational consolidation on the NCS (procurement, facilities, overhead) with high realisation probability; biggest risk is regulatory scrutiny of further NCS concentration and cultural integration of a large Shell workforce. Realisation haircut applied: ~80% on cost, ~30% on revenue.
BUYER · PUBLIC
AKER SOLUTIONS
AKSO.OL · $21.1B
→
3.90
TARGET · PRIVATE
AIBEL AS
Bygging av sivile skip og flytende materiell · ~€1636.6M rev
Solid — pursue with focused integration plan. Strongest lever is cost/operational consolidation of overlapping Norwegian offshore fabrication and engineering footprints; biggest risk is execution complexity and modest revenue upside in a concentrated NCS market.
BUYER · PUBLIC
SUBSEA 7
SUBC.OL · $99.8B
→
3.65
TARGET · PRIVATE
AIBEL AS
Bygging av sivile skip og flytende materiell · ~€1636.6M rev
Solid — pursue with focused integration plan. Subsea 7 gains the strongest cost synergies through rationalisation of overlapping Norwegian offshore fabrication and project delivery capacity. Revenue upside is modest while strategic positioning in floating assets and energy transition improves. Key risk is execution of integration at scale within a concentrated Norwegian supplier base.
🇪🇪 Estonia · 3 pairs
BUYER · PUBLIC
D'IETEREN GROUP
DIE.BR · $9.4B
→
3.65
TARGET · PRIVATE
TOYOTA BALTIC AS
Wholesale And Retail Trade; Repair Of Motor Vehicles And Motorcycles · ~€1008.6M rev
Solid — pursue with focused integration plan. D'Ieteren’s core Toyota distribution business aligns precisely with Toyota Baltic’s operations, delivering the strongest strategic and revenue-expansion levers. Biggest risk is execution across borders with limited cost overlap; biggest upside is controlled Baltic market entry at scale.
BUYER · PUBLIC
ALIMENTATION COUCHE-TARD INC
ATD.TO · $77.4B
→
3.55
TARGET · PRIVATE
ORLEN EESTI OÜ
Wholesale And Retail Trade; Repair Of Motor Vehicles And Motorcycles · ~€1158.7M rev
Solid — pursue with focused integration plan. Largest lever is cost_operational fuel and retail procurement synergies; primary risk is execution distance and modest revenue realisation in a small market.
BUYER · PUBLIC
INCHCAPE PLC ORD 10P
INCH.L · $2.9B
→
3.55
TARGET · PRIVATE
TOYOTA BALTIC AS
Wholesale And Retail Trade; Repair Of Motor Vehicles And Motorcycles · ~€1008.6M rev
Solid — pursue with focused integration plan. Primary value driver is cost_operational scale in automotive wholesale and aftersales; Inchcape can extract meaningful procurement and overhead synergies. Key risk is limited revenue upside and integration friction from geographic/cultural distance, tempered by the target’s modest size relative to Inchcape.
🇩🇰 Denmark · 3 pairs
BUYER · PUBLIC
Indutrade AB
INDT.ST · $92.0B
→
3.55
TARGET · PRIVATE
Antoax Holding A/S
· ~€512.8M rev
Solid — pursue with focused integration plan. Indutrade's serial-acquirer model and Nordic distribution network create clear cost and strategic synergies with the Danish target; the largest lever is operational scale while the biggest risk is integration effort given the target's material size relative to the buyer.
BUYER · PUBLIC
Lifco AB ser.B
LIFCO-B.ST · $144.2B
→
3.55
TARGET · PRIVATE
Antoax Holding A/S
· ~€512.8M rev
Solid — pursue with focused integration plan. Lifco’s acquisition engine and Nordic footprint create clear cost and strategic synergies with a sizable Danish industrial asset; largest lever is operational consolidation while biggest risk is integration complexity given the target’s material revenue size relative to typical Lifco bolt-ons.
BUYER · PUBLIC
Bilia AB ser. A
BILI-A.ST · $13.5B
→
3.55
TARGET · PRIVATE
Toyota Danmark A/S
· ~€420.5M rev
Solid — pursue with focused integration plan. Bilia gains immediate Danish market access and scale efficiencies in a classic horizontal dealership roll-up; largest lever is cost/operational consolidation while biggest risk is modest revenue synergy capture and execution across borders.
Featured Agent
Company Profiler
underwriting · Ticker → clean profile: business model, financials, industry.
Pulls a live company profile from real-time market data: business model, key products, markets, market cap, revenue, EBITDA, margins, and sector multiples.
Its editable system prompt:
# Company Profiler


You produce a clean company profile from a ticker or a company name.


## Output format


**{Company Name}** ({Ticker}) — one-line sector + HQ.


**Business model:** 1–2 sentences.


**Key financials (LTM):**





**Sector multiples (peer median):** EV/EBITDA, EV/Revenue.


**Recent news / signals:** 3 bullets max.


**M&A angle:** 2 bullets — is this a likely acquirer, target, or neither?


Keep it under 300 words. Be explicit when data is missing.

AI-generated analysis for informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

LiquidRound© 2026 Predictive Labs Ltd.