Company Overview
Lemon Gym operates a chain of fitness clubs across Lithuania, delivering membership-based access to gym facilities with recurring revenue from monthly subscriptions. As a private company with revenue below €10M, it functions as a scaled but regionally focused platform within the Baltic fitness sector, benefiting from network density in a market where physical club presence drives customer retention.
Deal Context
The transaction stems from BaltCap’s exit of parent Exercise Investment, positioning Lemon Gym as a PE-owned carve-out rather than a founder-led sale or growth equity round. Likely buyers include regional consolidators (e.g., Estonian or Latvian fitness chains) or strategic operators seeking immediate Lithuanian scale and membership cash flows, with optionality for cross-border roll-ups.
Valuation Context
Baltic listed peers trade at 5.6x–15.1x EV/EBITDA (Apranga 8.6x, Tallink 7.6x, Grigeo 5.6x), providing a ceiling. For a sub-€10M private asset, a 20–30% illiquidity and size discount implies a realistic 7–9x EV/EBITDA exit multiple, consistent with the thesis. Revenue multiples would likely compress to 1.0–1.5x given typical fitness EBITDA margins of 8–12% after energy and rent pressures.
Triage Verdict
GO
- Fit: Matches regional consolidator criteria in a sector with proven Baltic exit multiples and recurring cash-flow characteristics.
- Red flags: Limited public track record and exposure to volatile input costs create execution uncertainty for non-local buyers.
- Next step: Request data room access focused on club-level EBITDA, membership churn, and lease renewal schedules.
Key Risk
Sustained margin compression from rising energy and rent costs could push realized EBITDA below the 7–9x entry assumption.
Lemon Gym provides concrete Baltic fitness deal flow at a defensible private discount to listed peers.
| # | Fund | AUM | YTD | Positions |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ma Investment Partnership, LP | $322.6B | +177.4% | 18 |
| 2 | Graticule Asia Macro Advisors LLC | $1.1T | +169.2% | 4 |
| 3 | Shengqi Capital (Hong Kong) Ltd | $95.6B | +147.9% | 10 |
| 4 | Anther Capital Ltd | $3.8T | +147.8% | 31 |
| 5 | Central Asset Investments & Manag… | $261.4B | +134.4% | 63 |
| 6 | Oxbow Capital Management (HK) Ltd | $731.4B | +130.1% | 14 |
| 7 | Merck & Co., Inc. | $625.7B | +120.1% | 26 |
| 8 | Elemental Capital Partners LLC | $422.8B | +117.1% | 18 |
| 9 | Step Capital Management Pte. Ltd. | $467.4B | +112.1% | 53 |
| 10 | AIHC Capital Management Ltd | $226.4B | +111.3% | 11 |
| Security | Value | Weight |
|---|---|---|
| BLOOM ENERGY CORP | $150.0B | 43.1% |
| BLOOM ENERGY CORP | $101.9B | 29.3% |
| INDIE SEMICONDUCTOR INC | $40.7B | 11.7% |
| INDIE SEMICONDUCTOR INC | $27.9B | 8.0% |
| CREDO TECHNOLOGY GROUP HOLDI | $27.7B | 7.9% |
| Company | Ticker | Exchange | Expected | Deal Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SpaceX | SPCX | NASDAQ | 2026-06-12 | — |
| Pelican Acquisition II Corp | PLCIU | UNKNOWN | TBD | $86.2M |
| Cartesian Growth Corp IV | CGCFU | UNKNOWN | TBD | $287.5M |
| Research Alliance Corp IV | RACD | UNKNOWN | TBD | $75.0M |
| GLGHK Ltd | GLG | UNKNOWN | TBD | $40.2M |
| Company | Sector | Valuation |
|---|---|---|
| Anthropic | Artificial Intelligence | $965.0B |
| OpenAI | Artificial Intelligence | $894.3B |
| Databricks | Data and Analytics | $193.3B |
# Target Scanner You find acquisition targets that match a buyer's mandate. ## Input A buyer's criteria — sector, geography, size, growth, profitability, strategic rationale. ## Output 8–12 target candidates as a Markdown table with columns: | Company | Country | Revenue (EUR M) | EBITDA margin | Fit (1-5) | Strategic rationale | Then a short commentary paragraph on any themes across the list (consolidation, succession risk, valuation cycle). ## Guardrails - Realistic, publicly researchable companies. Do not invent. - Rank by strategic fit, not alphabetical. - Flag founder-owned / spo…